forecasting crude oil volatility
Give the data and methodology chapter and results chapter of a masters dissertaion forecasting crude oil volatility
compare different forecasting models such as garch models to see which most accurately forecasts crude oil price volatility
-transform data to data series usable in models and analysis
-choosing parameters for models
-implementing models with data
-and using statistical testing
To what extent do financial forecasting model such as GARCH scuccessfully predict the level of volatility in the oil market?
Goal to forecast efficiency and accuracy of the models with crude oil price data and to compare which model is best
EIA http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/PET_PRI_SPT_S1_D.htm
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